Sunday, December 8, 2013

Final Reprt-RS

Abstract
A large number of cities in West Texas are experiencing one of the worst droughts in the last hundred years; Lubbock, one of the bigger cities in this area, is no different. Lubbock’s water supplies have historically varied between groundwater and surface water. The City of Lubbock would like its people to believe that the water situation is a manageable. This belief is also of paramount importance to the city’s current and future growth. This belief though has to be thoroughly verified and validated, because of the various conflicting data that is available. Our research would help determine whether the city’s population has been actively keeping up with the water crisis. The survey found that Women in general and specifically Texan women specifically tried to conserve water.  The number of Texans blaming the oil drillers for using more resources then they should be was obviously higher in comparison to the non-Texan and internationals. A higher percentage of the internationals students surveyed thought that the Lubbock’s water resources were endangered and hence were worried. There were a few of the limitations of the survey that can be overcome with better planning and resources.
 
Introduction
     A large number of cities in West Texas are experiencing one of the worst droughts in the last hundred years; Lubbock, one of the bigger cities in this area, is no different. Lubbock’s water supplies have historically varied between groundwater and surface water. Some of the historic water supplies have been discontinued due to diminished water quality, reduction in the water availability, and due to more stringent drinking water regulations (Dunn, 2013).The water sources for the city of Lubbock have changed over time. Within the last 20 years, the profile of Lubbock’s water supply has changed from being satisfied mostly from Lake Meredith, to currently being satisfied by the well fields in Bailey County, Roberts County and Lake Alan Henry (Blackburn, 2013). Current estimates show that by the year 2014, additional water supplies and/or aggressive water conservation is needed in order to maintain water supply during the peak demands of the summer months (Blackburn, 2013). Even with aggressive conservation, estimates show that Lubbock will not be capable of supplying the projected water demand by the year 2025. In order to meet the projected deficit created by an increasing demand and a decreasing supply of water, multiple supply strategies have to be developed and evaluated (Dunn, 2013).
    Do perceptions of a population represent the reality and facts of an issue? Perception about water – where are we getting it from, what is endangering it, what is changing about the city’s water supply and what are we doing to conserve it? The survey was designed to study and understand these things about the population of Lubbock.
Literature Review
       Canadian River Municipal Water Authority, a group formed 50 years ago with 10 other Panhandle communities to build and provide drinking water from Lake Meredith, is the major supplier of drinking water to the city of Lubbock. According to Blackburn, existing customers can use up to 3,600 acre feet of water while Lubbock’s supplement for each year is 42,000 acre feet of water. However, the fact that water resources have become scarce and the adjacent cities such as Wolfforth and Abernathy, do not want to be dependent completely on Lubbock's supply makes the city's water projects encounter difficulties. The article concludes that state and federal grant groups tend to support large groups of governments rather than a project that benefits a single city. Thereby, Lubbock should find additional water resources to keep its key role in water supply for the region (Blackburn, 2008).
      The City of Lubbock must carefully evaluate several water supply alternatives and select the best one since water supply project is a major purchase. Three projects underway are indicated in this article, which are the Roberts County Well Field Expansion, Bailey County Well Field Development and Park Irrigation Conversion to Groundwater. However, the problems of drought impact to Lake Meredith and growing population have forced the City to find a new water supply. After detailed evaluation of several water supply proposals, Lake Alan Henry with the estimation of $240 million is considered as the most sustainable and cost effective water supply (Water Conservation and Education Department, 2008).
      Combinations of supply strategies in conjunction with the various demand projections were used to develop five different supply packages that can potentially provide the city with water for the 100-year planning period. In all supply packages, the Bailey County Well Field and Lake Alan Henry play an important role in providing the city with its peak demand over the planning period. In order to preserve the Bailey County Well Field, efforts should be made to reduce the annual usage from this source (Dunn, 2013).
Hypothesis
     The City of Lubbock would like its people to believe that the water situation is a manageable. This belief is also of paramount importance to the city’s current and future growth. This belief though has to be thoroughly verified and validated, because of the various conflicting data that is available. There also has to be a mechanism to measure the people’s understanding of Lubbock’s current and future water sources and management. We in this article would try to measure people’s knowledge and awareness of the city’s water crisis. Our research would help determine whether the city’s population has been actively keeping up with the water crisis. Is there a difference in how Texans and Non Texans view the city’s current crisis? This would be measured by the responses to question numbers eight and ten. Would there be a clear distinction as to how men and women view the city’s current crisis, in terms of conserving water and Lubbock’s future water supplies? There would not only be a clear distinction in the knowledge of the residents and non residents, there would also be a distinction in the responses of men and women. Residents and women will be more knowledgeable about the city’s water supplies. Do women in general believe in water restrictions for the city or do a higher number of Texan women believe in water restrictions? Texan women would be more likely to support water restrictions for the city because of Texas long problem with water shortage. Is there a clear distinction of knowledge between the American and international respondents? Texas Tech being one of the best colleges in the West Texas region, the knowledge and concern of the students about the city’s water supplies would be clearly on the same lines as that of the residents of the city. The survey being conducted in Texas Tech might also be one of the biggest limitations to the survey, because of the student population might not be residents of the city, thus obscuring the results.
Methods:
    Surveys were designed to understand the people’s knowledge and attitude about Lubbock’s water supply. The Fall 2013 class of ESL 5301, consisting of thirteen students and four teachers, were required to go out and find people to fill out the survey.
    The surveys collected information about the people’s demography and had 12 questions which were mostly yes or no questions. A total of 150 surveys were collected; these surveys were meant to understand the people’s attitude about various topics which could affect and endanger the water resources of the City of Lubbock. Water sources for the city of Lubbock, fracking, agriculture, and water restrictions were few of the topics on which the survey focused. The first few questions in the survey were used to scale the information obtained in the survey itself; these questions were used to sub divide the data in to smaller subsets in terms of men and women, Texans and non-Texans and students and non-students. Few of the inherent limitations in the survey are definitions of Texans vs. non Texans. This is a limitation, because the survey does not clearly state what qualifies people to call themselves Texans vs. non-Texans, is it the place of birth or the length of residency that qualifies people to be Texans.  People saying very knowledgeable on questions 4, which asked people about their knowledge on Lubbock’s water supply and then saying no on question 5, which asked people about the source of Lubbock’s water supply; was one other inherent limitation of the survey . There were also other limitations, the survey being mostly conducted on the TTU campus and obtaining only hundred and fifty surveys to understand the people’s knowledge and attitude about Lubbock’s water supply. The number of people being surveyed was a limitation because the population of Lubbock as of the year 2012 is two hundred and seventy seven thousand (Department of State Health Services, 2012), while only hundred and fifty were surveyed to obtained to understand the people’s knowledge and attitude about Lubbock’s water supply. The survey was also heavily inaccurate in terms of the information obtained about internationals, because the surveyors were asked to find at least five US residents for the survey the survey may be wrongly show that Americans are more knowledgeable then the international respondents.
      Each of the 13 students and 4 teachers in the ESL 5301 class were required to go out and find eight people to fill out the survey. It was agreed that each surveyor would get an equal distribution of men and women, with at least 5 or more of the participants being Americans. The surveyors were free to chose their locations, but most of the surveyors choose the Texas Tech campus as their location. Texas Tech is a public research university in Lubbock, Texas. Founded in 1923, Texas Tech is located on the South Plains of West Texas and carries the distinction of being the largest comprehensive higher education institution in the western two-thirds of the state of Texas.
Results:
      It was hypothesized that there would be a clear distinction in how men and women, Texans and Non Texans would respond to the questions about water conservation and restrictions. The hypothesis about women caring more about water conservation was proven right by the data obtained in this survey. Sixty-five out of the seventy five women surveyed (86%) tried to conserve water vs. only sixty out of the seventy five men surveyed (80%) tried to conserve water (Appendix-B, Graph 1).
     Question seven was used to test the hypothesis about non Texan women and Texan-women believing in the water restrictions for the city of Lubbock. Five out the sixteen non-Texan women surveyed (31%) believed in water restrictions for the city vs. thirty out the thirty seven Texas women surveyed (81%) believed in the city’s water restriction (Appendix-B, Graph 2). This proved the hypothesis about Texan women believing in the water restrictions for the city of Lubbock to be true. Graph 3 shows that the Texan women have kept up with current water situation of the city, which is not true about the international women surveyed. Texas Tech being an international research institute, the chances of the respondents not being long time residents of the city of Lubbock or the state of Texas could be high. This could be one of the reasons for this drastic difference of knowledge of the women surveyed.
      The question about water conservation was used to measure the attitude of Texans, non-residents and internationals towards water conservation, eighty-four percent of the Texans surveyed were found to be conserving water, while ninety-one percent of the non-Texans and internationals were found to be conserving water (Appendix-B, Graph 3). Internationals and non- Texan Americans were clearly trying to conserve water, when compared to Texans. This disproves that the method used to obtain the survey might have obscurely represented the knowledge of non-resident Texans and internationals.
    The number of Texans blaming the oil drillers for using more resources then should be was obviously higher in comparison to the non-Texan and internationals. The number of Texans believing that oil drillers were using more oil was forty-eight percent vs. only forty-five percent of the non-Texan and internationals (Appendix-B, Graph 4).
   A higher percentage of the internationals students surveyed thought that the Lubbock’s water resources were endangered and hence were worried. A total of only thirty-three percent of the internationals in the survey were confident about Lubbock’s future water supply vs. fifty-nine percent of the internationals being worried about Lubbock’s future water supply (Appendix-B, Graph 5).  
Discussion:
   The hypothesis about women caring more about water conservation was proven right by the data obtained in this survey. Sixty-five out of the seventy five women surveyed (86%) tried to conserve water vs. only sixty out of the seventy five men surveyed (80%) tried to conserve water (Appendix-B, Graph 1). Woman trying to conserve more water in comparison to men is probably because women are usually the beneficiaries and enablers of food and water for most families.
     Question seven was used to test the hypothesis about non Texan women and Texan-women believing in the water restrictions for the city of Lubbock. Five out the sixteen non-Texan women surveyed (31%) believed in water restrictions for the city vs. thirty out the thirty seven Texas women surveyed (81%) believed in the city’s water restriction (Appendix-B, Graph 2). This proved the hypothesis about Texan women believing in the water restrictions for the city of Lubbock to be true. Graph 3 shows that the Texan women have kept up with current water situation of the city, which is not true about the international women surveyed. Texas Tech University has a current enrollment of more than 31,000 students. Approximately sixty-four percent of the current student body is Caucasian, and 36% are from ethnically diverse populations. Hispanic (17.6%) and African-American (5%) students comprise the largest ethnic populations on campus. Approximately 7% of the student body is of foreign residency, and approximately 84% are Texas residents. Texas Tech being an international research institute and the class being a writing class for international students, the chances of the respondents not being longtime residents of the city of Lubbock or the state of Texas could be high. This could be one of the reasons for this drastic difference of knowledge of the women surveyed.
      The question about water conservation was used to measure the attitude of Texans, non-residents and internationals towards water conservation, eighty-four percent of the Texans surveyed were found to be conserving water, while ninety-one percent of the non-Texans and internationals were found to be conserving water (Appendix-B, Graph 3). The number of internationals and non- Texan American trying to conserve water was clearly higher, when compared to Texans. This disproves that the method used to obtain the survey might have obscurely represented the knowledge of non-resident Texans and internationals.
  The number of Texans blaming the oil drillers for using more resources then they should be was obviously higher in comparison to the non-Texan and internationals. The number of Texans believing that oil drillers were using more oil was forty-eight percent vs. only forty-five percent of the non-Texan and internationals (Appendix-B, Graph 4). Three years of the worst drought in Texas and decades of overuse of the state’s water recourse had already run the water levels in most aquifers low. Now the oil industry’s outsize demands on water for fracking are running down reservoirs and underground aquifers. This high demand for water by the oil industry is mainly responsible for the people’s perspective that the oil industry is using more resource then they should be.
     A higher percentage of the internationals students surveyed thought that the Lubbock’s water resources were endangered and hence were worried. A total of only thirty-three percent of the internationals in the survey were confident about Lubbock’s future water supply vs. fifty-nine percent of the internationals being worried about Lubbock’s future water supply (Appendix-B, Graph 5). The reason for this big difference in numbers could be a couple. The international students might be new residents of the city and could be unaware about the city’s future water supply plan or the students could also be highly aware about the city’s problems. Most of the international students at Texas Tech are involved in post graduate studies; this higher level of education could a reason for their higher knowledge about the city’s resources.
   There were a few of the limitations of the survey that can be overcome with better planning and resources. To list a few, a bigger sample size would help better understand the people’s knowledge and attitude about Lubbock’s water supply. The survey should focus on a greater area of Lubbock city rather then just the Texas Tech campus, this would ensure that the diverse population of Lubbock city is covered in the survey rather than just a small portion.
   
Bibliography:
Blackburn, E. (2013, June 08). Many eyes on Lubbock's water. Lubbock Avalanche-Journal. Retrieved on September 05, 2013 from http://lubbockonline.com/stories/060808/loc_287908754.shtml
Dunn. David. (2013 Feb). Strategic Water Supply Plan for the City of Lubbock. City Of Lubbock Texas (2013). Retrieved on Aug 2013 from http://www.mylubbock.us/docs/default-source/water-department-file-library/2013-strategic-water-supply-plan.pdf?sfvrsn=2
Lake Alan Henry and Other Water Supply Projects, Water Conservation and Education Department. Retrieved on Sep 5th, 2013 from http://www.mylubbock.us/docs/default-source/storm-water-management/developing-water-supply-alternatives-for-lubbock.pdf?sfvrsn=0
Department of State Health Services Population Data Lubbock. Retrieved on Dec 5th, 2013 from http://www.dshs.state.tx.us/chs/popdat/st2012.shtm
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Appendix 1- Survey
        I.            I am from
a.       Texas
b.      USA, not Texas
c.       International, not USA
      II.            I am
a.       Student
b.      Non-student
    III.            I am
a.       Male
b.      Female
 
1.       Check the issues that you feel are the most important. Check as many as you like.
a.       Rising sea levels
b.      Global warming
c.       Increasing storms, tornadoes, & hurricanes
d.      Increasing flooding
e.      Drought
f.        Fresh water supply
g.       Fracking and drilling and their effects
h.      Air pollution
i.         Water pollution
2.       Do you know what fracking is?
a.       Yes
b.      No
3.       Do you believe fracking endangers the public water supply?
a.       Yes
b.      No
c.       I don’t know
4.       How knowledgeable are you about where Lubbock gets its water supply?
a.       Very knowledgeable
b.      Some what
c.       Not very
5.       Do you know where Lubbock is getting its water for public use, now?
a.       Yes
b.      No
 
 
 
6.       Do you know how Lake Meredith us related to the question of Lubbock's water supply?
a.       Yes
b.      No
7.       Do you believe in water restrictions for the city of Lubbock?
a.       Yes
b.      No
c.       I don’t know
 
8.       Do you think Lubbock enforces its water restrictions effectively?
a.       Yes
b.      No
c.       I don’t know
9.       Do you believe in water restrictions for farmers in the area?
a.       Yes
b.      No
c.       I don’t know
10.   Do you usually, generally,  try to save water (for example, turn it off while brushing teeth?)
a.       Yes
b.      No
11.   Which of the people on the list take MORE water than they should, based on the availability of the resource? Check as many as you like.
a.       Farmers
b.      Oil drillers
c.       People who water their lawns
12.   Which best describes your feelings about Lubbock's ability to get water in the future?
a.       Confident
b.      Worried
 
 
Appendix 2- Graphs
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

No comments:

Post a Comment